A - Simple Model and Catalog

TL; DR

In a terminal, navigate to floatcsep/examples/case_a and type:

$ floatcsep run config.yml

After the calculation is complete, the results will be summarized in results/report.md.

Artifacts

The following example shows the definition of a testing experiment of a simple forecast against a simple catalog. The input structure of the experiment is:

case_a
    ├── catalog.csep
    ├── config.yml
    ├── best_model.dat
    └── region.txt
  • The testing region consists of a grid with two 1ºx1º bins, whose bottom-left nodes are defined in the file region.txt. The grid spacing is obtained automatically. The nodes are:

    # lon lat
    0 0
    1 0
    
  • The testing catalog catalog.csep contains only one event and is formatted in the csep_ascii() style (see Catalogs). Catalog formats are detected automatically

    lon,lat,mag,time_string,depth,cat_id,event_id
    0.5,0.5,6.5,2020-06-01T00:00:00,30,1,1
    
  • The forecast best_model.dat to be evaluated is written in the .dat format (see Forecasts). Forecast formats are detected automatically (see floatcsep.readers)

    # lon_min lon_max lat_min lat_max depth_min depth_max mag_min mag_max rate mask
    0 1 0 1 0 70 6 7 5e-1 1
    1 2 0 1 0 70 6 7 5e-1 0.1
    
    

Important

Every file path should be relative to the config.yml file.

Configuration

The experiment is defined by a time-, region-, model- and test-configurations. In this example, they are written together in the config.yml file.

Time

The time configuration is manifested in the time_config inset. The simplest definition is to set only the start and end dates of the experiment. These are always UTC date-times in isoformat (%Y-%m-%dT%H:%M:%S.%f - ISO861):

time_config:
  start_date: 2020-1-1T00:00:00
  end_date: 2021-1-1T00:00:00

Note

In case the time window are bounded by their midnights, the start_date and end_date can be in the format %Y-%m-%d.

The results of the experiment run will be associated with this time window, whose identifier will be its bounds: 2020-01-01_2021-01-01

Region

The region - a file path or csep function (e.g. csep.core.regions.italy_csep_region) -, the depth limits and magnitude discretization are defined in the region_config inset.

region_config:
  region: region.txt
  mag_min: 6.0
  mag_max: 7.0
  mag_bin: 1.0
  depth_min: 0
  depth_max: 70

Catalog

It is defined in the catalog inset. This should only make reference to a catalog file or a catalog query function (e.g. query_comcat). floatcsep will automatically filter the catalog to the experiment time, spatial and magnitude frames:

catalog: catalog.csep

Models

The model configuration is set in the models inset with a list of model names, which specify their file paths (and other attributes). Here, we just set the path as best_model.dat, whose format is automatically detected.

models:
  - best_model:
      path: best_model.dat

Note

A time-independent forecast model has default units of [eq/year] per cell. A forecast defined for a different number of years can be specified with the forecast_unit: {years} attribute.

Evaluations

The experiment’s evaluations are defined in the tests inset. It should be a list of test names, making reference to their function and plotting function. These can be either defined in pycsep (see Evaluations) or manually. In this example, we employ the consistency N-test: its function is csep.core.poisson_evaluations.number_test(), whereas its plotting function correspond to csep.utils.plots.plot_poisson_consistency_test()

tests:
  - Poisson N-test:
      func: poisson_evaluations.number_test
      plot_func: plot_poisson_consistency_test

Running the experiment

Run command

The experiment can be run by simply navigating to the examples/case_a folder in the terminal and typing.

$ floatcsep run config.yml

This will automatically set all the calculation paths (testing catalogs, evaluation results, figures) and will create a summarized report in results/report.md.

Note

The command floatcsep run <config> can be called from any working directory, as long as the specified file paths (e.g. region, models) are relative to the config.yml file.

Plot command

If only the result plots are desired, when the calculation was already completed, you can type:

$ floatcsep plot config.yml

This can be used, for example, when an additional plot is desired. Try adding to config.yml the following lines

postproc_config:
  plot_forecasts: True

and re-run with the plot command. A forecast figure will appear in results/{window}/forecasts

Results

The run command creates the result path tree for each time window analyzed.

  • The testing catalog of the window is stored in results/{window}/catalog in json format. This is a subset of the global testing catalog.

  • Human-readable results are found in results/{window}/evaluations

  • Catalog and evaluation results figures in results/{window}/figures.

  • The complete results are summarized in results/report.md

Advanced

The experiment run logic can be seen in the file case_a.py, which executes the same example but in python source code. The run logic of the terminal commands run, plot and reproduce can be found in floatcsep.cmd.main